This latest poll shows why Senator Mark Udall (D. CO) needs a high Latino turnout in order to beat Tea Party Rep. Cory Gardner (R. CO):
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/...
Less than a week before Election Day and with early voting under underway, Sen. Mark Udall (D-CO) holds a slim 1-point advantage over Republican candidate Cory Gardner, according to a new poll provided to TPM that attempted to suss out the Hispanic vote in more detail.
The Strategies 360 poll puts Udall at 45 percent and Gardner at 44 percent. The poll by the consulting group, which has a Denver office, was not commissioned by any outside group.
What is unique about the poll, however, is that it intentionally over-samples Hispanic voters and then re-weights the findings to reflect their share of the anticipated electorate on Election Day. "The sample was weighted to ensure a proportional demographic representation of the likely 2014 electorate," the pollster explained.
Among Hispanic voters surveyed, Udall leads Gardner 58-26. Hispanic voters -- and whether pollsters have been accurately capturing them -- has been a subject of debate with polls generally showing Gardner ahead. - TPM, 10/29/14
Here's some more info:
http://kdvr.com/...
“This race at this point is a total turnout game,” Ingham said. “If you look at partisan consolidation, Republicans are backing their candidate, Democrats are backing their candidate — and Republicans are energized this year. The question in the closing days is: will Democrats turn out? Will Hispanics and young people turn out?”
The gender gap is pronounced: Udall has a 17-point edge with women, but Gardner enjoys a 17 percent advantage with men (and a 23 percent edge with white men).
Udall has also consolidated unaffiliated Colorado voters, holding a 48-37 percent lead over Gardner.
In the same survey, Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper leads Republican Bob Beauprez by a 46-43 percent margin. - KDVR, 10/29/14
Now this was always going to be a tight race but this poll shows that not only is it important to get female voters out to the polls but also big turnout amongst Latino voters. Gardner's record on opposing immigration reform was always going to be his downfall and this poll confirms it:
http://www.denverpost.com/...
In the basement of a northwest Denver office building, blue "Latinos con Udall" signs adorned the wall behind Arturo Rodriguez as he pressed the need for immigration reform and appealed to the crowd in the small room.
"Those of us who are Latinos, we know we're family-oriented," said Rodriquez, the national president of the United Farmworkers of America, as he stood next to Sen. Mark Udall. "So we've got to be cien por ciento — we've got to be 100 percent — in ensuring that all of our family votes."
The question this year is whether Latino voters, disenchanted after years of inaction on immigration reform, will continue to boost Democrats to victory.
National and state polls suggest Latino citizens may not be as motivated to vote this year.
Udall is hoping to convince them to not lose hope. Flanked by Latino leaders and a seven-piece mariachi band in Denver, the incumbent Democrat made several stops Saturday in Latino strongholds to fire up volunteers and supporters.
Republicans are making it harder this year, offering more appeals than usual to Latino voters. Gardner debuted a Spanish-language TV ad and attended a Hispanic business event Wednesday with former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush in Denver.
Democrats see the growing base of Latino voters as a key to winning Udall's and other tight races Tuesday, including the one between Gov. John Hickenlooper and Republican Bob Beauprez as well as a suburban Denver congressional race.
Underlining the importance of the Latino vote, the candidates in the 6th Congressional District will participate in the Colorado's first-ever debate in Spanish on Thursday. U.S. Rep. Mike Coffman, a Republican who has been learning Spanish with a tutor, and Democrat Andrew Romanoff, who is fluent, will meet for 30 minutes at 5 p.m. for a live exchange on the Denver Univision affiliate.
They are vying to represent the highly competitive — and heavily Latino — 6th Congressional District, centered in Aurora.
Unlike in typical debates, the station agreed to Coffman's request to provide questions in advance so that the candidates could prepare answers. - Denver Post, 10/29/14
Click here to donate and get involved with Udall, Hickenlooper and Romanoff's campaigns so we can get out the vote:
http://markudall.com/
http://www.hickenlooperforcolorado.com/...
http://www.andrewromanoff.com/